Containing China’s Slowdown
China’s economy is slowing its fast pace of growth. This year’s rate is projected at 6.3 percent. Lee Jong-Wha, an economics professor writing for Project Syndicate, points to weak domestic activity and external demand, falling fertility rates and an aging population, competition on wages from other nations, and a struggle to make productivity gains with technology. He suggests that China has broken the mold on economic growth and therefore may not follow the patterns of other countries as growth eases. “China’s total debt reached 282% of GDP last year – surpassing America’s debt level,” he writes. “The first step in any effective strategy must be to recognize that, in such a large and unpredictable economy, the government cannot rely on direct intervention or macroeconomic policies. Instead, it must implement reforms that boost productivity and offset downward pressure on growth.” He urges reforms on labor, land and finance, aiming for balance and sustainability, along with technological innovations and increased productivity as China evolves into a service economy. – YaleGlobal
Containing China’s Slowdown
China’s economy is big, unpredictable and still growing; leaders should focus on reforms and trends like productivity rather than specific macroeconomics
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Lee Jong-Wha, professor of economics and director of the Asiatic Research Institute at Korea University, served as chief economist and head of the Office of Regional Economic Integration at the Asian Development Bank and was a senior adviser for international economic affairs to former President Lee Myung-bak of South Korea. His most recent book, co-authored with Harvard’s Robert J. Barro, is Education Matters: Global Gains from the 19th to the 21st Century
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