Nairobi Foreshadows Tomorrow’s Urban Conflicts

The globe is more urban than ever with more than 65 percent of all people living in cities compared with 2 percent in 1800. Urbanization, the bulk of it near coasts, is a global megatrend challenging world leaders and planners along with climate change and population growth. The patterns expose vulnerabilities and encourage inequality: “The unprecedented pace and scale of urban growth will strain infrastructure, governance and public safety, even in inland cities such as Nairobi,” writes David Kilcullen. “In coastal areas, slum growth will put more people at risk of flooding, pollution and disease.” Greater connectivity among citizens can spur planning among citizens and leaders for civic improvements, expressions of resentment or horrific acts of terrorism. Good security requires planning and provision of a range of services rather than building militaries and police forces. – YaleGlobal