US Rout Is Iran’s Condition to Talk to Washington

The Iraq Study Group Report, a unanimous and unflinching assessment of the war, offers 79 recommendations to the Bush administration for bringing the war to an end. Nations as diverse as Iran, Israel and the UK, which all have an interest in the conflict, do agree on one point: Few options exist for delivering stability to Iraq. So far, the US has refused to talk to Iraqi neighbors Syria or Iran. Iranian officials, downright pleased about US troubles in the region, have announced that they will extend no help to Iraq until the US sets a timetable for withdrawing troops, according to David Ignatius in “The Daily Star” of Lebanon. Israelis, according to Yakov Katz in “The Jerusalem Post,” fear that withdrawal will boost Iranian influence and spread war, giving Islamic extremists more territory and power throughout the region. Allies of the US, such as the UK, question whether the report focuses more on protecting the reputation of the US than delivering stability or considering interests of other nations with huge stakes in the Middle East, according to Rosemary Righter in “The London Times.” Troubled regions in the world depend on the US to deliver stability, not mere interference. With so many conflicts and potential conflicts afoot, the world can ill afford the risk of a divided and weakened US. – YaleGlobal

US Rout Is Iran's Condition to Talk to Washington

Other nations, alarmed about chaos sweeping the Middle East, weigh in on Iraq Study Group report
David Ignatius
Thursday, December 7, 2006

On the eve of the release of the Baker-Hamilton report, a top Iranian official set a tough condition for his country's help in stabilizing Iraq, saying that Tehran isn't interested in such cooperation unless the Bush administration agrees to set a timetable for withdrawing its troops.

Ali Larijani, Iran's national security adviser, said in an interview that a US plan for removing "occupation forces" from Iraq would be considered "a sign of a change in strategy." In that case, he said, "Iran would definitely extend the hand of assistance and would use its influence to help solve the problem."

The Iranian official made his comments following a speech Tuesday to a conference in Dubai called the Arab Strategy Forum. His remarks were the clearest statement I've heard of how Iran views its role in the region following what he described as the failure of American intervention in Iraq, Afghanistan and Lebanon. His tone was triumphalist: In his view, America is bogged down in Iraq and "in dire need of change," while a newly confident Iran is positioning itself as a dominant power for the region.

"When we face a strategic stalemate, we can break it only by changing the strategy itself," Larijani said in his speech. He explained that America's choice was to stick with a failing strategy of unilateralism, tinker with it to "retard the process" of defeat, or replace it altogether with a new strategy of "interdependence" that recognized Iran's primacy as a regional power. By embracing a new strategy, he said, the United States "would bring psychological calm to the region and help America to behave in a more rational way."

When I asked Larijani later at a news conference what Iran would regard as evidence that the Bush administration was indeed changing its strategy, he said, "the clearest sign would be the exit or evacuation of US forces," adding: "Should there be a timetable presented, that would serve as a positive sign."

On the nuclear issue, Larijani said that a United Nations Security Council sanctions resolution reportedly drafted this week by Russia and France would not stop Iran's uranium-enrichment efforts. "I announce: This is not effective," he said.

Following these public comments, Larijani talked one-on-one about the changes he thinks have been set in motion by the Republican Party's defeat in last month's congressional elections. He wouldn't talk in detail about the likely recommendations of the Iraq Study Group, headed by former Secretary of State James A. Baker and ex-Representative Lee Hamilton. But he indicated that if the Bush administration embraced a call for gradual withdrawal, Iran would agree to join discussions on Iraq and Afghanistan. Though he called repeatedly for a US withdrawal plan, Larijani didn't explain how the resulting vacuum would be filled in a way that avoided all-out civil war.

Click here for the original article on The Jerusalem Post's website.

Click here for the original article on The London Times website.

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