In The News

Labor Pains in the Middle East

April 1, 2008
Oil-rich states in the Middle East have long depended on migrants from countries such as India and Bangladesh to fill the demand for labor in capital-intensive projects and protected indigenous labor by promoting large civil service classes. But global inflation has reduced real wages while increasing the price of goods, with effects magnified for those countries with currencies pegged to the...

Weak Dollar Feels New Stress

Joanna Slater March 12, 2008
Most countries around the world are fighting a trend of global inflation by tightening their currencies, allowing the values to rise. That places pressure on a declining US dollar, writes Joanna Slater for the Wall Street Journal. A declining dollar contributes to rising prices for raw materials like oil, which in turn contributes to inflation. “The inflation dilemma is at its most stark in...

Brave New Economy

David Hale February 27, 2008
The Asian financial crisis 10 years ago convinced many governments on the continent to become big, yet cautious savers. Developing nations account for 75 percent of the world’s $6 trillion of foreign exchange reserves – and have sovereign funds worth $2.5 trillion. By purchasing vast sums of US treasury bonds and other debt, Asian and Middle Eastern investors contributed to low interest rates in...

The Recession Felt Around the World

Nouriel Roubini February 21, 2008
A recession looming for the US could affect countries all over the world that rely on exporting to the world’s biggest economy. Some analysts suggest that decoupling, or the process of decreasing dependence on American consumers, would prevent a recession’s effects from spreading. But the fact remains that the US is a top trading partner for many countries in the world, and even states that have...

Decoupling Demystified

Nayan Chanda February 8, 2008
Reality always trumps theory. Nayan Chanda points out that this was seen when aftershocks from the American stockmarket meltdown put to rest the theory of ‘decoupling’. The stockmarket jitters that ran from Tokyo to Shanghai to Mumbai shows that Asian growth is very much linked, further proving that in a globalized world, you can run, but cannot hide. – YaleGlobal

Buyers, Not Savers, Caused America’s Deficit

Richard Duncan February 5, 2008
Financial analysts scrutinize Alan Greenspan’s 2007 autobiography, “The Age of Turbulence,” for any clues about the current economic downturn. Analyst and author Richard Duncan takes issue with the chapter in Greenspan’s book on current accounts and debt, noting that that the former chairman of the US Federal Reserve argues, “High savings and unattractive investments at home, occurring at a time...

A Fear That the Cure Could Be Poison

Edmund L. Andrews February 1, 2008
Central banks like the US Federal Reserve raise interest rates to slow an economy and lower them to stimulate it. But economists admit that a complex global economy, with transactions moving at rapid pace, complicates their task. Economist must wait for data to come in long after an economy reacts to events. For example, economists are yet uncertain about whether or not a recession is underway in...