In The News

China Set to Rescue Australia Economy at Just the Right Time

Michael Heath December 9, 2016
A precipitous decline in global commodity prices since 2011 left Australia struggling financially, but the recent Chinese stimulus spending brightened the economic prospects. Exports are increasing as Chinese manufacturing and industry ramps up, and Australia is “the developed world’s most China-dependent economy,” reports Michael Heath for Bloomberg. During the period of low commodity prices,...

Foreign Companies Face New Clampdown for Getting Money Out of China

James T. Areddy and Lingling Wei December 8, 2016
China, less keen about the yuan becoming a global currency, abruptly applied a new limit for capital outflows. “China’s foreign-exchange regulator has instructed banks to sharply limit how much companies move out of the country and into their other operations around the world,” report James T. Areddy and Lingling Wei for the Wall Street Journal. “The recent moves effectively erode the yuan’s...

Can Trump – or Anyone – Bring Back US Manufacturing?

December 8, 2016
US voters and politicians worry about the loss of manufacturing and assembly jobs, which carry a wage premium over most service jobs. Yet numerous economists and other analysis express doubt that such jobs can quickly be restored in the United States. “The biggest reason Trump — or anyone else — can’t bring back jobs is because there is nowhere to bring them back from,” notes an article from...

Trade Week Africa and the Continental Free Trade Area

Amy Copley December 7, 2016
Africa is not rejecting trade agreements. All 54 countries on the continent are projected to be in the Continental Free Trade Area, or CFTA, which “is shaping up to be the largest free trade area in the world in terms of the population it covers,” notes Amy Copley for the Brookings Institution. The African Union and UN groups continue negotiations, and analysts suggest that CFTA could increase...

Seizing Opportunity in a Post-TPP World

Stephen S. Roach December 1, 2016
Trade is the glue for globalization and without it other connections can subside. But US voters rejected a US leadership role in global trade deals and elected billionaire Donald Trump who has already signaled intent to have the United States to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership with 11 other nations. Analysts suggest that China could step into the US role, but “The baton of global...

Promises Trump Can’t Keep

Nayan Chanda November 28, 2016
US President-elect Donald Trump made big promises on trade and jobs that will be tough to keep without wrecking key industries along with the global economy. Essentially, he suggested that he could restore US manufacturing jobs by blocking new trade deals like the Tans-Pacific Partnership and walking back on old deals like the North Atlantic Free Trade Agreement. The plan has problems. Such trade...

US Walks Away From TPP, Leaving China Free to Dominate Asia

Anthony Rowley November 22, 2016
The Obama administration has suspended efforts to win approval from the US Congress for the Trans-Pacific Partnership, reports suggest, and it’s up to the Trump administration to kill or shape the 12-nation deal. With TPP on life support, China promotes two other trade agreements for the region, either of which could exclude the United States and reduce its competitiveness in the Asia Pacific...