Could Hong Kong Become Belfast?

Frustration and anger run high among protesters over broken promises on "one country, two systems" for Hong Kong. Journalist Mike Chinoy compares the protest movement in Hong Kong with the three decades of unrest in Northern Ireland. Chinoy is author of a biography on Kevin Boyle, a leader of the Northern Ireland civil rights movement and human rights lawyer, which will be published in March. “While Northern Ireland, with its Victorian cities, rugged countryside and centuries of religious animosity, seems a polar opposite from teeming, cosmopolitan Hong Kong, the parallels are striking, not least because both societies confront the painful legacy of having once been British colonies,” explains Chinoy. In both Hong Kong and Northern Ireland, “government intransigence and police over-reaction have transformed a peaceful one-issue protest into a movement demanding sweeping change.” The article concludes warning about the risks of an uncompromising approach that could push some protesters toward radicalization and violence. – YaleGlobal

Could Hong Kong Become Belfast?

Failure to compromise and police over-reaction in Hong Kong and Northern Ireland transformed one-issue protests into movements for sweeping change
Mike Chinoy
Tuesday, October 1, 2019

Back to the future: Protests that heralded civil strife in Northern Ireland, left, seem to echo in Hong Kong as protesters confront the Beijing-backed government

HONG KONG: The crowds surged through the streets, demanding basic political rights. They were met by club-wielding riot police firing teargas and rubber bullets. The clashes became routine, reflecting the gap between an aroused populace and an isolated and unresponsive government.

This sounds very much like Hong Kong, where I live, in the summer of 2019, but in fact describes Northern Ireland 50 years ago. As the crisis in Hong Kong shows no sign of resolution, the strife increasingly resembles the early years of what became known as “the Troubles”– a conflict that lasted 30 years and left 3000 people dead. I covered Northern Ireland as a journalist in the 1970s and 1980s. Over the last three years, I have studied that history in detail while researching and writing a book about the life of the late Professor Kevin Boyle, a leader of the Northern Ireland civil rights movement and later a prominent human rights lawyer.

While Northern Ireland, with its Victorian cities, rugged countryside and centuries of religious animosity, seems a polar opposite from teeming, cosmopolitan Hong Kong, the parallels are striking, not least because both societies confront the painful legacy of having once been British colonies.

When the rest of predominantly Catholic Ireland achieved independence from Britain in 1922, Protestants in the North – descendants of the largely Scottish settlers who colonized Ireland on Britain’s behalf – created a statelet to ensure their dominant position. The Troubles began as a peaceful protest movement demanding that the province’s minority Catholic population be given the same political and civil rights enjoyed by the Protestant majority and other British citizens. As Boyle says in my book, “I was mobilized by the sense of injustice that such a large section of the population were excluded from power in a British state.” The initial response of the North’s Protestant-dominated government, however, was indifference, hostility and support for police efforts to stifle the movement.

Hong Kong’s 2019 protests also began peacefully. The immediate issue was a law proposed by Beijing-appointed Chief Executive Carrie Lam to allow the extradition of people from Hong Kong to mainland China, where the Chinese Communist Party controls the legal system. But deeper anxieties fueled concern – a staggeringly unequal economy benefitting the wealthy while leaving many young people behind and political decision-making dominated by an alliance between Beijing and the city's out-of-touch tycoons. It was a far cry from the right to eventually elect both the chief executive and legislative council through universal suffrage that China promised Hong Kong following the end of 150 years of British colonial rule in 1997. In recent years, newly elected youthful lawmakers have articulated these concerns, and the sense of alienation has been exacerbated as the government expelled them from the legislature on such petty procedural grounds that the move seemed transparently political. 

Despite warnings from lawyers, business groups and ordinary citizens that the extradition law would jeopardize Hong Kong’s independent judiciary – a key feature distinguishing it from the mainland – Lam insisted it would be passed. This led to huge demonstrations and clashes between protestors and police.

In Northern Ireland, the government’s unwillingness to address demands for basic civil rights also sparked clashes, with the police using rubber bullets and teargas in largely futile efforts at crowd control. As a journalist in Belfast wrote in 1971, teargas had “enormous power to wield a crowd together in common sympathy and common hatred for the men who gassed them.”

In Hong Kong’s densely populated neighborhoods, teargas has had a similar effect, fueling intense resentment. At the same time, just as civilians in Belfast were blinded by rubber bullets, the use of such weapons in Hong Kong, including the case of a young woman hit in the eye, added to public fury.

By the time the Northern Ireland authorities grudgingly conceded some of the basic civil rights demands in the early 1970s – an end to gerrymandered electoral districts, equal opportunity in housing and jobs – it was too late. Growing numbers of Catholics came to see the Northern Ireland state itself as illegitimate. Demands for specific reforms gave way to calls to overthrow the system altogether. For the Irish Republican Army, or IRA, this meant the start of campaign of violence aimed at severing the North’s British connection and creating a united Ireland.

In Hong Kong, the original demand for the withdrawal of the extradition bill was grudgingly met in early September. The move was too little, too late. Police actions as well as pro-Beijing thugs who attacked demonstrators and civilians, along with the government’s unyielding arrogance, produced four other demands: creation of an independent commission to investigate police behavior, overturning the designation of arrested protestors as rioters, Lam’s resignation and genuine democratic reforms. Unless all demands are met, the protesters vow to continue.

As in Northern Ireland, government intransigence and police over-reaction have transformed a peaceful one-issue protest campaign into a movement demanding sweeping change. While stopping short of calls for Hong Kong independence, the protests have so alarmed Beijing that it has denounced the movement as a “color revolution” intended to break Hong Kong’s links with China.

With the authorities ruling out further concessions, the level of violence has begun to increase. In recent days, a small minority of protestors have set fires at subway station entrances, thrown Molotov cocktails at police and, in a few cases, beaten those they suspected of supporting the government. Meanwhile, pro-Beijing gangs, some wielding cleavers, have fought running battles with demonstrators. The police have either looked on or arrested only members of the protest movement.

In Northern Ireland, the failure of peaceful protest and police heavy-handedness sparked the IRA’s campaign. Hong Kong has thankfully not yet reached this point. Still, for me, events in Hong Kong, with roads closed, transport disrupted, teargas in the air, bring back memories of the challenges of navigating daily life in Belfast in the 1970s.

And it could get worse. As was true with the rise of the IRA, frustration among more radical activists is growing, heightened by what Amnesty International has described as “torture and other ill-treatment” of those arrested during the protests. A 19 September Amnesty report documented cases of Hong Kong police beating detainees, threatening to apply electric shocks to their genitals and shining laser beams into their eyes. There is an eerie parallel here with one of Boyle’s most celebrated cases. In 1972, he was the lawyer in the first case to raise the mistreatment of those detained by the Northern Ireland security forces before the European Commission of Human Rights. Boyle represented seven men beaten and tortured after being detained, including a prisoner who was given electric shocks to his genitals and others who suffered broken bones. Boyle asked the commission to conduct a broader inquiry, which did take place, into the behavior of the police and army. Amnesty has supported calls for an independent investigation in Hong Kong.

Meanwhile, in online chat rooms frequented by protestors, local media report increased discussion of the need to fight back. In mid-summer, police seized explosives in a building where they also arrested members of a fringe political party advocating Hong Kong independence. It may be only a matter of time before a radical minority concludes that they have little choice but to adopt more violent tactics.

In 1969, Boyle played a prominent role in a civil rights march attacked by Protestant extremists. A lifelong opponent of violence, he responded with increased efforts to find a political way forward. Others, including participants in that same march, moved towards violence and terrorism. It is not unreasonable to worry that the uncompromising approach of the Beijing and Hong Kong governments risks pushing some of the youthful protesters in a similar direction.

Mike Chinoy was a long-time foreign correspondent, serving as CNN’s first Beijing bureau chief and as senior Asia correspondent. He covered the Troubles in Northern Ireland in the 1970s and 1980s. He is currently a Hong Kong–based Non-Resident Senior Fellow at the University of Southern California’s US-China Institute. His new book, Are You With Me? Kevin Boyle and the Rise of the Human Rights Movement, will be published next March.

© 2019 YaleGlobal and the MacMillan Center


The HK problem is not only one-country-two-systems promised or broken promise by China. It is one world two systems (totalitarian of China or Chinazi) vs democracy represented by the Western countries (EU, UK,US). Hongkongers need the support from the free world

The five demands of the Hong Kong protest movement do not include Lam's resignation. They are: complete withdrawal of the extradition bill, an independent commission of inquiry into police misconduct, retraction of the characterization of protesters as "rioters," amnesty for arrested protesters, and democratic elections for the Legislative Council and Chief Executive. One significant difference from Northern Ireland that Mike Chinoy could have remarked on is that Hong Kong does not have an inherent division in society analogous to that between Catholics and Protestants (mainland Chinese vs local origin is not as sharp or relevant a distinction). Nor was the movement motivated by the injustice of excluding a minority from power. One might argue it instead concerns the injustice of excluding the majority from power.

Very true. As the movement develops, more injustices surfaced and the focus is starting to shift to justice and human rights in general beyond that of political rights.

Chinese-occupied Hong Kong is no different from British-occupied Northern Ireland 50 years ago. We are unfortunately going on the same direction ...

They attack everyone who get in their way, no matter it's elderly, women or any innocent citizens.
They burn police with petrol bombs
They mob beat up metro station on duty workers who try to stop them from ruin the metro station.
They mob violently forced senior citizen who didn't agree their violence to apologize
They mob threat and yell at a young mother together her daughter who try to clean the city wall which these "protester" put posts and paint on.
Are they really fighting for the freedom and democracy?
They are just a bunch of kids who have a taste of blood and got 'intoxicated by the success of mob rule'
They are biggest criminal mob society in Hong Kong.
And their only rule is that nobody should get in their way, and anybody who did deserve to die “抵死”

It's pathetic that there are always some people who never read about the underlying cause of every defiance. While they complained about protestors vandalizing metro stations, they mentioned nothing about the metro company suspending their services in order to provide service for the Police only, they mentioned nothing about the company refusing to disclose footage about the tragedy happened in the Prince Edward station.
If you are pissed off by protestors beating other citizens up, why didn't you blame the citizens for initiating the fight? It just happened last night that one taxi driving ramming and deadly hitting pedestrians, it is very likely that the victim would be paralyzed. Are they that innocent as you described?
Lastly, it is always worth reflecting that whether the violent acts by the protestors are comparable to that of the Police Force who deployed live ammunition to a teenager's chest when he hit the police's arm with PVC tube, who insanely fired expired tire gas to crowds, who shot journalist's eye to blindness with rubber bullet, who fractured protestors' limbs when they showed no sign of defiance and many more.
They are always action and reaction forces, the more draconian rules, the greater defiance.

Emma, your knowledge on the subject sucks. Do you use your twisted propaganda to smear the movement. what you have described are exactly the deeds of the police thugs.

I think this is not true. Peaceful civilians got attack repeatedly by pro-gov thugs and there is no fair treatment from police, thats why youngsters behave like this. May I remind you what had happened on 21 July, and the girl who got attack in TKO pedestrian tunnel

Who are the people that you refer to as "They"? Are they all the people who protest?

Emma, guesses you little pink or 50 cents troll...

Have read the animal farm by George Orwell?

oh, ask your friends who are east german and seen them have Stasi report file?

This article was written on 1 Oct. The development in these few days were exceedingly troubling. The Hong Kong Government has invoked the Emergency Regulation Ordinance to bypass the legislature to further limit the liberty of Hong Kong people. The responses from the protestors have escalated. Many young protestors have vowed for "either give me liberty, or give me death". They are preparing to sacrifice their lives for their beliefs. With the cruel oppressions from a totalitarian government, I am afraid Hong Kong will rapidly become Belfast.

I totally agree with you. The current chaos in Hong Kong reflects the totalitarian regimes vs the democratic modern states. From history, most communist countries had been failed but only communist China has survived which has incorporated with Maoism and state capitalism to reinforce its absolute power and dictatorship not only within mainland China but also trying to manipulate Hong Kong and even the rest of the western countries through fake news, Belt and Road Initiative and the everywhere red capital.

All in all, today's communist China is an extended arm of those falling communist states. We need to stand with the free and democratic world and those who are standing at the front.

Very well written parallel. A few minor errors:
Para 10- The 5 demands do not include resignation of Carrie Lam, but the drop of all charges to those who were arrested. These demands were raised after 12 June and therefore made more sense back then.
Para 13- Not only protestors throwing Molotov cocktails and damaging public facilities. There are photos and video records showing that some of them were under-covered police who dressed up like protestors. We can deduce that we are uncertain whether the protestors are actually true protestors or even pro-beijing thugs stirring up public anger.
Para 13- The protestors did not beat up anyone on their way or suspicious of supporting Beijing. Most of the cases I have seen were that the one being beaten up committed an offence first, eg waving a knife, an axe or other weapons to the others, speeding their cars into a crowd, or using force in any other means to the public. Since people no longer trust the police, they protect themselves by defensive fight back.

The idea is to be Pro-HK. But, not either Anti-or-Pro China camps. It's a fine line and it's easy to slip into either camp.