Uncertainty for Middle East: Syndication Bureau

Rising Chinese-US tensions create strategic uncertainty around economic-development, foreign policy and even internal politics in the Middle East. US plans to relocate strategic industries, including healthcare and technology, away from China may benefit economies like Egypt or Morocco. “On the other hand, the increasingly zero-sum nature of economic competition between China and the US means that Middle East countries looking to develop hi-tech industries as part of their economic diversification programs will have to factor in the risks of doing business with China,” writes Dnyanesh Kamat. That could require avoiding business with Chinese firms like Huawei, slow microchip manufacturing activity and disrupt some government plans to diversify economies. Analysts anticipate China to fill any vacuum left by the United States and become the largest country-to-country source of funding for infrastructure projects throughout the Middle East. China will expect, in exchange, support from regional leaders on its global policies and initiatives. China will not participate in the region’s conflicts, encouraging détentes, and such trends will increase admiration for China’s political model including centralization, surveillance, propaganda and state-controlled media. A win by Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, could improve US engagement with China and give Middle East leaders greater choice in foreign policy. – YaleGlobal

Uncertainty for Middle East: Syndication Bureau

US-China tensions create strategic uncertainty for the Middle East – and China is poised to fill any vacuum in the region left by the United States
Dnyanesh Kamat
Thursday, June 11, 2020

Read the essay from Syndication Bureau about how Chinese-US tensions influence strategic policy choices in the Middle East.

Dnyanesh Kamat is a political analyst on the Middle East and South Asia. He also advises governments on policies and strategic initiatives to foster growth in the creative industries such as media, entertainment and culture.

Most Populous Middle East Nations:  Trade Status with China and US, 2018  	Export Partner:  Egypt 	US (2) Turkey	US (4) Iran 	China (1) Saudi Arabia	China (1), US (5) Yemen	China (1) Syria 	 Jordan	US (1) UAE	China (3) Israel 	US (1) China (2) Libya	China (2) Lebanon. Import Partner: Egypt 	China (1) US (3) Turkey	China (2) US (4) Iran 	China (1) Saudi Arabia	China (1) US (3) Yemen	China (1) Syria 	China (1) Jordan	China (2) US (4) UAE	China (1) US (3)  Israel 	US (1) China (2) Libya	China (3) Lebanon	China (1) US (4)
(Source: Observatory of Economic Complexity)

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