In The News

The World Consequences of US Decline

Immanuel Wallerstein August 16, 2011
For the past decade, analysts around the globe have suggested that the United States – its economy, innovations, political will and global influence – are in decline, and many US citizens agree, especially since the nation’s AAA credit rating was reduced by Standard & Poor’s. US citizens aren’t handling the decline well, and lash out at their political system and government officials. Other...

Let Down by Politics

Nayan Chanda August 15, 2011
In reducing the AAA credit rating for the US, Standard & Poor’s offered a forward-looking opinion on the risk of the nation meeting its obligations in full and on time. Rather than shun US treasury notes, investors sold off equities, putting the US stock markets into a nosedive. The reaction reflects deep skepticism, not about the quality of the debt, explains YaleGlobal Editor Nayan Chanda,...

Global Economy: Is Anybody in Control?

David Dapice August 9, 2011
Around the globe, national leaders show no clue, no confidence, about how to re-engineer job creation or global economic security, contends economist David Dapice. The US has many resources for resolving its large debt, but bickering and stubborn quests for power prevent speedy resolution. Europe’s resistance to enact long-term policies on unequal accrual of debt among its member states and...

China Urges US to Protect Creditors by Raising Debt

Bettina Wassener, Matthew Saltmarsh July 15, 2011
China, a major lender to the US, urges the president and US Congress to reach agreement on lifting the nation’s debt limit, so that bills can be paid. “China holds more than $1 trillion in United States Treasury securities, making it highly sensitive to any developments that could lower the value of those holdings,” reports the New York Times. Statutory limits have been in place since 1917, an...

Advanced Economies: Minutes to Midnight? Part II

Bruce Stokes May 2, 2011
To encourage growth, governments borrowed to finance infrastructure and current expenditures, and anticipated revenues to eventually cover the costs. Low interest rates led to surging debt, investment bubbles and unrealistic growth projections rather than a sustainable economy with jobs and tax revenues. This two-part series analyzes the impending crisis for advanced economies. Europe had hoped...

The Markets Prey on Debt-Laden Nations

Joergen Oerstroem Moeller January 17, 2011
The world has gross savings of more than $61 trillion, reports the International Monetary Fund. Those holdings are highly imbalanced: China’s surplus is more than $4 trillion while the US owes $14 trillion. Investors relentlessly detect and predict trends in pursuit of higher profits. Japan, the US and many European nations carry high debt loads. The financial markets are impatient with low...

Why the Financial Crisis and What Is the Way Out

Carmen Reinhart October 7, 2010
In an interview with Nayan Chanda, Professor Carmen Reinhart, co-author of This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, discusses the causes behind the current financial crisis and the measures needed to recover and grow. – YaleGlobal