Recent YaleGlobal Articles

David Dapice
April 28, 2011
Advanced economies face momentous decisions to sustain their prosperity and lifestyles. In a two-part series, YaleGlobal reviews the challenges faced by the US and the Eurozone. In 1917 the US Congress passed statutory limits, unusual by world standards, for issuing bonds, to avoid separate...
吴翠玲 (Evelyn Goh)
April 26, 2011
不断壮大的经济实力不一定能转化成政治影响力。分析家吴翠玲(Evelyn Goh)认为,北京通过贸易,能对东盟成员国的经济选择施加影响,但在安全事务上却没有那么显著的效果。她指出:“中国经济的迅速崛起已经重新构造了东亚地区的经济网络,作为面向全世界的最终组装和出口基地它带动了区域生产。”她补充说,在解决长期冲突过程中,与具有共同目标的人联合,要比劝说别人违背自己的利益要更容易。强硬的言论和行动使人不禁对中国的和平意图发生怀疑,并导致东盟邻居们采取保护和遏制措施。“中国说服力的基础在于她持续善意政策行动的能力。”吴说。在面对众多冲突时,中国有大量选择的余地,既可以展示它的全球领导地位,...
Evelyn Goh
April 26, 2011
A growing economy does not necessarily translate into political influence. Beijing sways economic choices of members of the Association of South East Asian Nations through trade but less so in security matters, suggests analyst Evelyn Goh. “China’s burgeoning economic rise has restructured economic...
Dilip Hiro
April 22, 2011
The US has reasons for hurrying some Arab authoritarian leaders to the exit and not others. Syria and Bahrain are cases in point, explains author Dilip Hiro. Citizens of both nations resist leaders from minority sects and ongoing discrimination. Syria is 68 percent Sunni, run by a president, an...
迪利普•希罗 (Dilip Hiro)
April 22, 2011
美国有理由加紧推动一部分而不是所有阿拉伯国家的独裁领导人下台。本文作者迪利普•希罗(Dilip Hiro)认为叙利亚和巴林就是被美国区别对待的两个例子。这两个国家的民众都对少数派的领导和自身受到的持续的歧视进行了反抗。叙利亚有68%的人口是逊尼派,总统属于什叶派的支派阿拉维派;巴林70%的人口是什叶派,国王是逊尼派。叙利亚长期反抗美国,是联通伊朗和巴勒斯坦及黎巴嫩激进组织的纽带。巴林是美国第五舰队总部所在地,其国王对伊朗十分不信任,在这一点上美国和沙特的态度也是如此。巴林的代议政府可以成为伊朗的亲密盟友,而叙利亚的代议政府可以把叙利亚从一个世俗化的政府转变成一个伊斯兰教国家。...
Humphrey Hawksley
April 20, 2011
Opposition movements in the Middle East and North Africa enjoyed early successes in Tunisia and Egypt, yet the struggle proves hard in Syria, Libya, Bahrain and Yemen. The outcomes – new democracies or brutal crackdowns – could alter the region’s relationships in unimaginable ways. East Asia is a...
汉弗莱•霍克斯利(Humphrey Hawksley)
April 20, 2011
中东和北非的反对派运动在突尼斯和埃及取得初步成功,但在叙利亚、利比亚、巴林和也门的斗争则陷入困境。结果无论是新民主政体还是残酷镇压,都可能以难以想象的方式改变该地区的关系。东亚是个本来可能出错却最后走向正确的模式。40年前美国向越南输出民主的失败,但并不妨碍今天两国的合作。英国广播公司国际新闻记者汉弗莱•霍克斯利解释到,美国耐心的关注引导了日本、韩国、印度尼西亚等国从战争的废墟中走向民主和强大的经济。东亚克服了极端主义和民族主义,努力把强大的军方与企业和政治区分开,而民众则就优先选择和目标做出让步。美国和其他强国必须用法律和管理的稳定体制来提供支持,同时尊重那里的身份认同和控制。...
萨达纳德•杜海姆(Sadanand Dhume)
April 18, 2011
政府腐败加剧了收入不平等,浪费了稀缺资源,并且摧毁了公共信任。印度爆发了一波惹眼的腐败丑闻,比如英联邦运动会(Commonwealth Games)的暴利合同(padded contracts),将电信波段分配给自己喜欢的竞标者导致纳税人损失400亿美元,以及在为战争遗孀的安居房保留用地上投资兴建豪华公寓。事情发生后,民众的义愤接踵而至。印度弱小的中产阶级——充其量不超过总人口的百分之二十五——集结起来支持前军队司机安纳•哈萨雷(Anna Hazare)。这位甘地作风的社会运动人士誓愿,要么终止政府腐败,要么在新德里的简塔•曼塔古天文台(Jantar Mantar)绝食至死。...
Sadanand Dhume
April 18, 2011
Government corruption reinforces income inequality, wastes scarce resources and destroys the public trust. After a series of high-profile corruption scandals in India – padded contracts associated with the Commonwealth Games, telecom spectrum distributed to favored bidders at a loss of $40 billion...
沈丁立(Shen Dingli)
April 15, 2011
中国已经由1980年的世界第十一大经济体飞跃至第二位。世界上任何地区战争的爆发(如利比亚危机)都会影响到中国的全球投资。本期耶鲁全球系列的两篇文章分析了中国应对复杂国际事务的方式。复旦大学的沈丁立教授认为,中国倾向于采用实用主义战略缓和全球紧张局势。中国正在迅速崛起,越来越多的外部压力在迫使它果断行动,而在危机面前中国却反应迟缓,由此,国际社会对中国的疑虑加剧。一个鲜明的例证就是中国对朝鲜的立场:尽管朝鲜在对付韩国时公然违背国际法,中国对之却没有一个一贯的立场。中国外交战略的特征,即互不干涉内政、互相尊重领土完整、依靠耐心外交、谋求稳定的原则,表现得令人难以捉摸。...
Shen Dingli
April 15, 2011
Ranked 11th largest in the world in 1980, China’s economy has since swelled to the second spot. Outbreak of hostility in any part of the world – like Libya – affects China’s global portfolio. This two-part YaleGlobal series analyzes China’s approach to complex global issues. China prefers...
Gareth Evans
April 15, 2011
In an interview with Nayan Chanda, former Foreign Minister of Australia and former President of International Crisis Group Gareth Evans explains the origin of the Responsibility to Protect – R2P – concept and hails the UN resolution 1973 as breaking a new ground in the development of global...
Jonathan Fenby
April 13, 2011
Every move of fast-rising China in international affairs is closely studied for a shift from old patterns. Some analysts expect China to shoulder new global responsibility; others anticipate continuation of policies upholding national sovereignty. This two-part YaleGlobal series analyzes China’s...
乔纳森•芬比(Jonathan Fenby)
April 13, 2011
中国正在迅速崛起,人们仔细研究其在国际事务中的一举一动,以期能够从中找到旧有模式的转变路径。一些分析人士希望中国能够肩负起新的全球责任;还有一些则希望中国继续奉行坚持国家主权的政策。此次分为上、下两篇的耶鲁全球系列文章将分析中国外交政策中优先事务的决定策略。在上篇中,作家乔纳森•芬比(Jonathan Fenby)指出,中国针对利比亚问题不断变化的政策,表现出它在非洲地区贸易投资的强烈利益诉求,以及它对安全事务的谨慎态度。中国不需要就突尼斯和埃及的动乱事件表态。但是利比亚——以及该国政府对平民所造成的威胁——成为了联合国安理会的议题。中国投票弃权,使得设立利比亚禁飞区的决议最终得以通过了。...
Jeffrey Lewis
April 11, 2011
Trace amounts of radiation from the damaged Fukushima reactors have been detected in some vegetables of Japan and milk in the US and Europe – spreading alarm about food safety among consumers. Thanks to the internet, information – and rumors – about radiation go global fast, which wasn’t the case...
杰弗里•刘易斯(Jeffrey Lewis)
April 11, 2011
在日本的蔬菜、美国和欧洲的牛奶中,人们已经检测出了来自损坏的福岛核反应堆的微量核物质,这为消费者敲响了食品安全的警钟。因为网络的力量,关于辐射的信息——还有谣言——在全球范围内迅速传播,而在仅仅几十年前,核事故或武器测试等事件还不会有如此的影响。福岛灾难引起了人们高度的担忧,甚至是恐慌。但是,世界卫生组织指出,电离辐射一直在人类环境中存在。目前的挑战是公共政策的发展,而不是个人行为的选择。蒙特雷国际研究所的杰弗里•刘易斯(Jeffrey Lewis)承认道:担心是合理的,尤其是在消费者不信任处理危机的政府和机构的情况下。人们在福岛事故或类似事件之后会担心短时间内的食物或饮料安全,相比之下,...
Peter Mandelson
April 8, 2011
The politics of globalization can be improved, argues Peter Mandelson, former European commissioner for trade in an essay based on a March 2011 keynote speech on the future of globalization. Governments have the capability to tame what seems to be a senseless race to devour resources and amass...
维克拉姆•曼莎拉马尼(Vikram Mansharamani)
April 6, 2011
中国仍然是世界上发展速度最快的经济体之一,然而无数迹象表明,投机性狂热大行其道。投资者们期望中国的经济增速继续保持在8%的高位,这反过来强化了需求的大幅上涨、货币流动性增加和过度建设。但曾在金融泡沫破灭就撰书指出泡沫存在的耶鲁大学讲师维克拉姆•曼莎拉马尼(Vikram Mansharamani)却认为,中国的经济增速即使下降到5%也不足为怪。中国经济放缓将会产生全球性影响,因为商品市场、金融业与航运业、新兴国家的供应商、跨国公司、加上诸如美国财政部之类的借款人,都依赖于中国经济的高歌猛进。跟17世纪荷兰郁金香交易泡沫或者2006年美国的次贷危机一样,与中国绑在一起的投资者们声称:“这次不同...
Vikram Mansharamani
April 6, 2011
China remains one of the world’s fastest growing economies, yet numerous signs point to a speculative mania underway. While investors anticipate China’s economic growth to continue apace at 8 percent – reinforcing the flurry of demand, easy money and excessive building – a slowdown to 5 percent is...
Ashok Bardhan
April 4, 2011
Economists and policymakers recognize that investment in research and development – by government or industry – contributes to innovation, employment and higher living standards. In pursuit of bigger markets and lower costs US firms started the trend of relocating manufacturing and services...
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