Recent YaleGlobal Articles

China Rises Again – Part II

Glenn D. Tiffert
 March 27, 2009
The international community recognizes China's rising power and is hopeful that China would exercise this power with responsibility. History demonstrates that those in power do set new rules, and accommodating this new authority is always a source of tension. In the second article of a two-...

China Rises Again – Part I

Wang Gungwu
 March 25, 2009
In China’s long history, its leaders have managed other rises in power and preeminence, but the current rise confronts them with a different set of challenges on a global scale. This two-part series reflects on how China handles its rise and responds to other global powers. In the first article of...

No One Model for New Global Economy

Yoichi Funabashi
 March 23, 2009
As the global crisis deepens and countries seek different ways out, devising new global economic institutions would do little to restore confidence. Instead, the institutions in place – the International Monetary Fund, the Bretton Woods system on exchange rates and the World Bank – should take...

新的全球经济没有单一模式

船桥洋一（Yoichi Funabashi）
 March 23, 2009
随着全球危机加剧加之各个国家寻求不同的方法以自救，设计一些新的全球经济制度并不会对恢复信心有多大帮助。相反，这些既有制度——国际货币基金组织、布雷顿森林汇率制度和世界银行——应该即刻采取行动将一个崛起中的亚洲纳入它们的全球治理体系。否则，那些紧握权力不放且坚持狭隘解决方案的国家就会有束缚其自身经济增长的风险，记者兼作家船桥洋一（Yoichi Funabashi）如是说。他认为，贸易仍是一个有争议的问题，而且即使在金融领域中，亚洲也还没有完全准备好为演进中的全球治理体系——在该体系中，主要的国家经济模式（national economic models）正在多元化——承担主要责任。...

Democracy May be the Best Ally Against Pakistan's Extremists

Paula R. Newberg
 March 20, 2009
Pakistan confronts many challenges, on governance, extremism and a war in neighboring Afghanistan that encroaches its own borders. An international focus on eliminating terrorism led to agreements with Pakistani presidents that often bypassed courts and parliament. And that may be an important...

人口：几家剧增，几家降

约瑟夫•夏米（Joseph Chamie）
 March 18, 2009
20世纪期间世界人口将近翻了两番。在今年3月的第一个星期二，美国国家情报局长（National Intelligence Director）丹尼斯•布莱尔（Dennis Blair）告知参议院军事委员会（Senate Armed Services Committee），到2025年世界人口又会新增10亿。这既会增加食品、水和能源的供应压力，也会增加全球环境压力，从而可能会引发争夺资源的冲突。在一些发展中国家人口已经迅速攀升，而在发达国家它却一直呈下降趋势。人口统计学家约瑟夫•夏米（Joseph Chamie）解释到，地区间的不同生育率也是导致贫困、...

Population: Some Boom, Some Decline

Joseph Chamie
 March 18, 2009
World population nearly quadrupled during the 20th century, and in early March, US National Intelligence Director Dennis Blair told the Senate Armed Services Committee Tuesday that by 2025 it could grow by another 1 billion people. That would put pressure on the global environment as well as on...

奥巴马精心打造对伊策略

伦纳德•S•斯帕克特 (Leonard S. Spector)
 March 16, 2009
依据《防止核武器扩散条约》（Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons），作为签约国的伊朗有权进行民用核技术的探索。但是布什政府却将伊朗涉及高浓缩铀的核技术研究视为制造核武器的一个步骤并因此对世界和平构成了威胁。专门研究防止核武器扩散问题的学者伦纳德•S•斯帕克特（Leonard S. Spector）解释到，奥巴马政府正在制定的政策追随布什政府的目标，但同时努力采用温和的手段和广泛的国际合作。为了在迫使伊朗停止发展核武器的问题上赢得新伙伴，...

Obama Hones Iran Strategy

Leonard S. Spector
 March 16, 2009
Under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, signatory Iran has the right to pursue civilian applications of nuclear technology. But the Bush administration regarded Iran's nuclear research involving highly enriched uranium as a step to building a nuclear weapon and thus a...

隐蔽的保护主义对全球经济复苏构成威胁

理查德•鲍德温（Richard Baldwin）、西蒙•伊文尼特（Simon Evenett）
 March 13, 2009
正如过去所发生的那样，全球经济衰退使得各国政府都倾向于采取保护主义政策，尽管事实证明这对经济有害。当今政府做出的企图虽与从前类似，但它们更为微妙，更难被察觉, 使它们显得更加阴险。正如一项新研究报告的编者理查德•鲍德温（Richard Baldwin）和西蒙•伊文尼特（Simon Evenett）所言，各国所采取的某些措施“滥用了各种国际贸易协定所允许的合法自由裁量权，”其产生的限制作用与直截了当的保护主义并无二致。发表于 VoxEU.org网站上的《全球贸易的崩溃、隐蔽的保护主义和危机：对二十国集团（G20）的荐言》一书，凝聚了学者和业界人士的智慧，对当前的危机做出了诊断并提出了建议。...

Protectionism Threatens Global Economic Recovery

Richard Baldwin and Simon Evenett
 March 13, 2009
A global economic recession increases the temptation for national governments, as happened in the past, to pursue protectionism, despite its proven record of harming the economy. What makes similar attempts now by governments more insidious is that they are more subtle and thus murkier to detect....

China Reluctant to Lead

Orville Schell
 March 11, 2009
As US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton emphasized during her first trip overseas, the US has great expectations for China's leadership and help on fixing the economy, and reducing climate change. Following the model of Richard Nixon in the 1970s, who sought to make common cause against the...

不管怎么说，“外包”不会停止

迪恩斯C•夏玛 (Dinesh C. Sharma)
 March 9, 2009
经济危机横扫全球之际，各国民众都在期待各自的政治领袖能创造出新的工作岗位，但在这一过程中，其他的问题也随之产生了。例如，在美国，巴拉克•奥巴马（Barack Obama）总统已经承诺不再给予外包工作岗位的公司以税收优惠政策。这让一些印度IT公司感动恐慌。印度的IT产业为全球的金融、银行、保险公司提供服务，并已经在金融危机中遭到了严重的打击。不过，IT分析人士显得较为乐观。他们鼓励新产品和人力的迅速流动，因为他们很清楚，在困难时期，外包业务可以为公司节省花销和劳动力。身为记者和作家，迪恩斯C.夏玛(Dinesh C. Sharma)指出：“外包业务已有深厚基础，短时间内逆转这一趋势是不可能的...

Despite Rhetoric, Offshoring Won’t Stop

Dinesh C. Sharma
 March 9, 2009
As economic crisis sweeps the globe, citizens expect their political leaders to create jobs, but it leads to other problems in the process. For example, in the US, President Barack Obama has vowed to end “tax breaks” for companies that ship jobs overseas, causing consternation among some in the...

The Gordian Knot of Gaza

Tamara Cofman Wittes
 March 6, 2009
The internal politics for authoritarian Arab nations allied with the US complicate any resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and empower nations that resist Western influence, like Iran. The lack of power and miserable existence for Palestinians who seek their own state resonates with...

US and Global Security: An Interview with Admiral William J. Fallon

March 6, 2009
Admiral William J. Fallon, former commander of US Central Command, analyzes the ongoing US role in Iraq and Afghanistan, including criticisms about troop numbers, in this interview with Nayan Chanda, YaleGlobal editor. Fallon also describes security matters related to Pakistan, Iran, China and...

加沙的戈耳迪之结（Gordian Knot）

塔玛拉•科夫曼•惠斯 (Tamara Cofman Wittes)
 March 6, 2009
<一些与美国结盟的阿拉伯专制国家的内部政治，既使得有关巴以冲突的任何解决方案都变得复杂化了，又增强了一些抵制西方势力的国家（例如伊朗）的力量和信心。布鲁金斯研究院分析家塔玛拉•科夫曼•惠斯（Tamara Cofman Wittes）指出，对那些力图建立自己国家的巴勒斯坦人来说，缺乏权力和悲惨的生存状态会引起世人对数以百万计的阿拉伯人（尤其是那些生活在同美国—— 即以色列的主要支持者——结盟的腐败政权里的阿拉伯人）的同情。她断言，美国不能够一边在少数外交政策问题上与其在该地区的盟友携手合作，一边指望洗净与腐败、残忍或失败的统治者狼狈为奸的劣迹。...

Fixing Global Finance: An Interview with Martin Wolf

March 5, 2009
Martin Wolf, Chief Economics Commentator and Associate Editor for the Financial Times, talks about his new book “Fixing Global Finance,” and the current financial crisis. In this interview with Nayan Chanda, editor of YaleGlobal, Wolf explains why global imbalances caused the financial crises,...

A Dangerous Void in Pakistan

Ahmed Rashid
 March 4, 2009
Many analysts had hoped that the democratic elections in 2008 and the resulting civilian government might stabilize Pakistan. Instead, a dithering and weak government which tried to buy off Islamic militants by a controversial ceasefire now face a breakdown of the ceasefire, in the midst of new...

巴基斯坦的危险真空

艾哈迈德•拉希德（Ahmed Rashid）
 March 4, 2009
子。如今在新一轮的恐怖袭击、政治抗议和经济灾难中，该政府正面临这个停火方案的失败。记者和作家艾哈迈德•拉希德（Ahmed Rashid）解释道，其结果是北大西洋公约组织和美国——从2001年开始就发动战争以重建阿富汗的秩序,而且还将向该区域增派更多的军队——再也不可能将巴基斯坦作为一个可信赖的同盟。反倒是塔利班武装组织将他们的势力范围和强硬方式扩张到了距离首都伊斯兰堡不足100英里的斯瓦特山谷（Swat Valley），并对白沙瓦构成了迫在眉睫的威胁。在一次肆无忌惮的行动中，恐怖分子在巴基斯坦文化之都拉合尔的中心袭击了斯里兰卡板球队。奥巴马政府有可能尝试通过一种区域性方案来寻求稳定，...
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