The selection process of China’s top leaders is kept secret, preventing citizens or ambitious subordinates from taking advantage of divisions. A faux united front may seem cautious and uninspiring as special interests grow, taking entrenched positions. This YaleGlobal series assesses the challenges...
中国正面临巨大挑战,一方面要保持快速增长,一方面要平衡民粹和精英的利益之争,然而它仍然坚定不移地要实现繁荣和取得世界的认可。这个全球最大的国家正准备移交领导权;本期的耶鲁在线系列文章则分析了这对外交政策的影响。美国前驻华大使,现任基辛格中美研究所(Kissinger Institute on China and the United States)主任的芮效俭(J. Stapleton Roy)认为,在今后十年中,美国下届总统和有望成为中国共产党总书记的习近平之间的关系将决定未来中美关系的走向。他认为,亚洲之所以重新引起美国的兴趣,原因不是为了遏制中国,而是要恢复在这个区域的信心。到目前为止...
China faces pressing challenges in sustaining rapid growth and balancing competing interests of populists and elites, yet remains determined in achieving prosperity and global recognition. The world’s largest country prepares for a transition in leadership, and this YaleGlobal series analyzes the...
Leadership transition in China is an opaque process. New appointments to the powerful standing committee of the Politburo are anticipated in October, as President Hu Jintao relinquishes his post as general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party and hands control to Vice President Xi Jinping. The...
Jobs remain a central concern for the US voters and the 2012 presidential campaign. Candidates of opposing parties, and even insiders of the Obama administration, debate whether government intervention, including subsidies for particular industries, helps or hurts companies. This YaleGlobal series...
As the US confronts stubborn unemployment and a shrinking industrial base, a battle is shaping up about reviving manufacturing. Running for reelection, President Obama has embraced manufacturing and export renaissance, even as free-market supporters find fault in what they call his “industrial...
The processes behind the selection of the Chinese Communist Party’s top leaders – the nine-member standing committee of the Politburo – are long, deliberative and secretive. The veil of secrecy was lifted briefly when Bo Xilai, who had seemed destined to make the standing committee team, was...
Climate-change naysayers claim that shifting from fossil fuels to alternative energies is unnecessary or too costly for economies. Yet, the cost of climate change is clearly evident. Manufacturers are considering moving from Thailand and other countries threatened by flooding and other forces...
尽管全球变暖的后果怵目心惊,一些学者仍质疑是否需要采取紧急行动。今年一月,一组科学家,其中有的来自于美国、澳大利亚、法国和荷兰,撰文总结了他们怀疑和反对联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会的发现的原因。这些科学家坚持认为,缺乏证据表明世界正在变暖。他们援引耶鲁大学经济学教授威廉•D•诺德豪斯(William D. Nordhaus)的研究成果,认为应对气候变化的行动推迟50年,不仅不会造成严重的经济后果,甚至还能为欠发达国家提供契机,迎头赶上发达国家。在本期耶鲁全球系列评论文的上篇中,诺德豪斯撰文驳斥了这一论点,他指出,在气候模型、气温变化趋势和基本的成本收益分析的问题上,...
Although the consequences of global warming are painfully vivid, some scholars still question whether it requires urgent action. In January, a group of scientists, including those from the United States, Australia, France and the Netherlands, summarized reasons for their skepticism and opposition...
Investment bank Goldman Sachs introduced the term BRIC in a 2003 report, suggesting that by mid-century the emerging economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China would outpace most of the major economic powers. S, for South Africa, was added in 2011. The loose grouping was based not on trade,...
NATO is winding down its military operations in Afghanistan, leaving the nation only slightly more stable than when troops arrived in 2001. Security priorities drove aid, and Afghanistan and its neighbor Pakistan are now left in desperate need of good governance and nation-building. “Billions have...